Oil prices surged to seven-year highs today as supply disruption fears mounted following hefty sanctions on Russian banks amid the intensifying Ukraine conflict,.
Traders are scrambling to seek alternative oil sources in an already tight market.
Brent crude futures gained $5.30, or 5%, to $110.23 a barrel in early trade, a level last seen in July 2014.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up $5.02, or 4.8%, to $108.41, after earlier hitting the highest since September 2013.
“Trade disruptions are starting to get people’s attention,” said Westpac economist Justin Smirk.
“Issues around trade finance and insurance – that’s all impacting exports from the Black Sea. The supply shocks are unfolding,” he said.
Russian oil exports account for around 8% of global supply.
Exxon Mobil said it would exit Russia oil and gas operations as a result of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.
The decision will see the firm pull out of managing large production facilities on Sakhalin Island in Russia’s Far East.
At the same time, while Western powers have not imposed sanctions on energy exports directly, US traders at hubs in New York and the US Gulf are shunning Russian crude.
“People are not touching Russian barrels. You may see some on the water right now, but they were bought prior to the invasion. There won’t be much after that,” one New York Harbor trader told Reuters.
State-run Indian refiner Bharat Petroleum is seeking extra oil from Middle Eastern producers for April, fearing Western sanctions against Russia could hit deliveries of Urals crude.
Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia may sharply hike prices of crude for Asia in April, trade sources said, with differentials for most grades hitting all-time highs as global supplies tighten over financing and shipping issues from sanctions on Russia.
A coordinated release of 60 million barrels of oil by International Energy Agency member countries agreed yesterday put a lid on market gains, but analysts said that would only provide temporary relief on the supply front.
“They helped to cap the rise, but if you want to turn prices around, you need something more sustainable,” Smirk said.
Commercial oil stockpiles are at their lowest since 2014, the IEA said.
Against that backdrop, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and allies, together known as OPEC+, are due to meet today where they are expected to stick to plans to add 400,000 barrels per day of supply each month.
Underscoring tightness in the market, the latest data from the American Petroleum Institute industry group showed US crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels for the week ended February 25.
The US Energy Information Administration is due to release weekly data today, with analysts polled by Reuters expecting a crude inventory build of 2.7 million barrels.